Likhitha Infrastructure (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 320.25
| LIKHITHA | 322.70 1.95 0.60% |
Likhitha |
Likhitha Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish below 320.25
The tendency of Likhitha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 320.25 or more in 90 days |
| 322.70 | 90 days | 320.25 | roughly 2.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Likhitha Infrastructure to drop to 320.25 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.79 (This Likhitha Infrastructure Limited probability density function shows the probability of Likhitha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Likhitha Infrastructure price to stay between 320.25 and its current price of 322.7 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Likhitha Infrastructure has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Likhitha Infrastructure average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Likhitha Infrastructure Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Likhitha Infrastructure Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Likhitha Infrastructure Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Likhitha Infrastructure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Likhitha Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Likhitha Infrastructure Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Likhitha Infrastructure is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Likhitha Infrastructure's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Likhitha Infrastructure Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Likhitha Infrastructure within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Likhitha Infrastructure Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Likhitha Infrastructure for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Likhitha Infrastructure can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Likhitha Infrastructure generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Likhitha Infrastructure Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Likhitha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Likhitha Infrastructure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Likhitha Infrastructure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 906 M |
Likhitha Infrastructure Technical Analysis
Likhitha Infrastructure's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Likhitha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Likhitha Infrastructure Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Likhitha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Likhitha Infrastructure Predictive Forecast Models
Likhitha Infrastructure's time-series forecasting models is one of many Likhitha Infrastructure's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Likhitha Infrastructure's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Likhitha Infrastructure
Checking the ongoing alerts about Likhitha Infrastructure for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Likhitha Infrastructure help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Likhitha Infrastructure generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Likhitha Stock
Likhitha Infrastructure financial ratios help investors to determine whether Likhitha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Likhitha with respect to the benefits of owning Likhitha Infrastructure security.