Lilium Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.076
| LILM Stock | USD 0.09 0.01 16.05% |
Lilium |
Lilium NV Target Price Odds to finish below 0.076
The tendency of Lilium Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0.09 | 90 days | 0.08 | about 6.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lilium NV to drop to $ 0.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.92 (This Lilium NV probability density function shows the probability of Lilium Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lilium NV price to stay between $ 0.08 and its current price of $0.094 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.14 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lilium NV will likely underperform. Additionally Lilium NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lilium NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lilium NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lilium NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lilium NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lilium NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lilium NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lilium NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lilium NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Lilium NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lilium NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lilium NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lilium NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lilium NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lilium NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lilium NV has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (381.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36 K. | |
| Lilium NV currently holds about 225.55 M in cash with (231.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Lilium NV has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: The Schall Law Firm Invites Shareholder Participation In A Case Against Lilium N.V. For Securities Related Infractions |
Lilium NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lilium Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lilium NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lilium NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 547.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 195 M |
Lilium NV Technical Analysis
Lilium NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lilium Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lilium NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lilium Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lilium NV Predictive Forecast Models
Lilium NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lilium NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lilium NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lilium NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lilium NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lilium NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lilium NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lilium NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lilium NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lilium NV has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (381.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36 K. | |
| Lilium NV currently holds about 225.55 M in cash with (231.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Lilium NV has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: The Schall Law Firm Invites Shareholder Participation In A Case Against Lilium N.V. For Securities Related Infractions |
Check out Lilium NV Backtesting, Lilium NV Valuation, Lilium NV Correlation, Lilium NV Hype Analysis, Lilium NV Volatility, Lilium NV History as well as Lilium NV Performance. To learn how to invest in Lilium Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lilium NV guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lilium NV. If investors know Lilium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lilium NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.07 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.52) | Return On Assets (0.79) | Return On Equity (3.24) |
The market value of Lilium NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lilium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lilium NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lilium NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lilium NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lilium NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lilium NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lilium NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lilium NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.