Interlink Electronics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.24
| LINK Stock | USD 4.45 0.12 2.63% |
Interlink |
Interlink Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 8.24
The tendency of Interlink Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.24 after 90 days |
| 4.45 | 90 days | 8.24 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Interlink Electronics to stay under $ 8.24 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Interlink Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Interlink Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Interlink Electronics price to stay between its current price of $ 4.45 and $ 8.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.21 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Interlink Electronics has a beta of -1.26. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Interlink Electronics are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Interlink Electronics is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Interlink Electronics has an alpha of 0.4083, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Interlink Electronics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Interlink Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interlink Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Interlink Electronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Interlink Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Interlink Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Interlink Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Interlink Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Interlink Electronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Interlink Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Interlink Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Interlink Electronics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (383 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.06 M. | |
| Interlink Electronics currently holds about 10.81 M in cash with (116 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.64. | |
| Interlink Electronics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Why Solana, Bonk, and Chainlink Are Surging Today |
Interlink Electronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Interlink Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Interlink Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Interlink Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 M |
Interlink Electronics Technical Analysis
Interlink Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Interlink Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Interlink Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Interlink Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Interlink Electronics Predictive Forecast Models
Interlink Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Interlink Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Interlink Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Interlink Electronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Interlink Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Interlink Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Interlink Electronics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (383 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.06 M. | |
| Interlink Electronics currently holds about 10.81 M in cash with (116 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.64. | |
| Interlink Electronics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Why Solana, Bonk, and Chainlink Are Surging Today |
Check out Interlink Electronics Backtesting, Interlink Electronics Valuation, Interlink Electronics Correlation, Interlink Electronics Hype Analysis, Interlink Electronics Volatility, Interlink Electronics History as well as Interlink Electronics Performance. For more information on how to buy Interlink Stock please use our How to buy in Interlink Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Interlink Electronics. If investors know Interlink will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Interlink Electronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 21.014 | Earnings Share (0.25) | Revenue Per Share 1.24 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of Interlink Electronics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Interlink that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Interlink Electronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Interlink Electronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Interlink Electronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Interlink Electronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Interlink Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Interlink Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Interlink Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.