Linamar Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59.34
| LNR Stock | CAD 60.15 0.30 0.50% |
Linamar |
Linamar Target Price Odds to finish below 59.34
The tendency of Linamar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 59.34 or more in 90 days |
| 60.15 | 90 days | 59.34 | about 17.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Linamar to drop to C$ 59.34 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.02 (This Linamar probability density function shows the probability of Linamar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Linamar price to stay between C$ 59.34 and its current price of C$60.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Linamar has a beta of 0.73. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Linamar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Linamar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Linamar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Linamar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Linamar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Linamar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Linamar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Linamar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Linamar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Linamar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Linamar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Linamar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Linamar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Linamar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Linamar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Linamar is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Linamar Net Issuance of Preferred Stock C0 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Linamar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Linamar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Linamar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Linamar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 653.3 M |
Linamar Technical Analysis
Linamar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Linamar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Linamar. In general, you should focus on analyzing Linamar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Linamar Predictive Forecast Models
Linamar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Linamar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Linamar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Linamar
Checking the ongoing alerts about Linamar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Linamar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Linamar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Linamar is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Linamar Net Issuance of Preferred Stock C0 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Other Information on Investing in Linamar Stock
Linamar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Linamar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Linamar with respect to the benefits of owning Linamar security.