Laird Superfood Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.70
| LSF Stock | USD 8.89 0.52 6.21% |
Laird |
Laird Superfood Target Price Odds to finish over 20.70
The tendency of Laird Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.70 or more in 90 days |
| 8.89 | 90 days | 20.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Laird Superfood to move over $ 20.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Laird Superfood probability density function shows the probability of Laird Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Laird Superfood price to stay between its current price of $ 8.89 and $ 20.70 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Laird Superfood will likely underperform. Moreover Laird Superfood has an alpha of 1.1515, implying that it can generate a 1.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Laird Superfood Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Laird Superfood
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laird Superfood. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Laird Superfood's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Laird Superfood Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Laird Superfood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Laird Superfood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Laird Superfood, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Laird Superfood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Laird Superfood Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Laird Superfood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Laird Superfood can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Laird Superfood is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Laird Superfood appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 34.22 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.16 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.19 M. | |
| Laird Superfood has about 17.71 M in cash with (10.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.67. | |
| Laird Superfood has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 18000 shares by Graves Gregory B of Laird Superfood subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Laird Superfood Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Laird Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Laird Superfood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laird Superfood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 M |
Laird Superfood Technical Analysis
Laird Superfood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Laird Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Laird Superfood. In general, you should focus on analyzing Laird Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Laird Superfood Predictive Forecast Models
Laird Superfood's time-series forecasting models is one of many Laird Superfood's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Laird Superfood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Laird Superfood
Checking the ongoing alerts about Laird Superfood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Laird Superfood help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Laird Superfood is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Laird Superfood appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 34.22 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.16 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.19 M. | |
| Laird Superfood has about 17.71 M in cash with (10.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.67. | |
| Laird Superfood has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 18000 shares by Graves Gregory B of Laird Superfood subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Laird Superfood Backtesting, Laird Superfood Valuation, Laird Superfood Correlation, Laird Superfood Hype Analysis, Laird Superfood Volatility, Laird Superfood History as well as Laird Superfood Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Laird Stock please use our How to Invest in Laird Superfood guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Laird Superfood. If investors know Laird will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Laird Superfood listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.12) | Revenue Per Share 4.211 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.283 | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.1) |
The market value of Laird Superfood is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Laird that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Laird Superfood's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Laird Superfood's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Laird Superfood's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Laird Superfood's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Laird Superfood's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Laird Superfood is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Laird Superfood's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.