Lam Soon (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.91

LST Stock  THB 5.00  0.02  0.40%   
Lam Soon's future price is the expected price of Lam Soon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lam Soon Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lam Soon Backtesting, Lam Soon Valuation, Lam Soon Correlation, Lam Soon Hype Analysis, Lam Soon Volatility, Lam Soon History as well as Lam Soon Performance.
  
Please specify Lam Soon's target price for which you would like Lam Soon odds to be computed.

Lam Soon Target Price Odds to finish over 4.91

The tendency of Lam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4.91  in 90 days
 5.00 90 days 4.91 
about 44.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lam Soon to stay above  4.91  in 90 days from now is about 44.04 (This Lam Soon Public probability density function shows the probability of Lam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lam Soon Public price to stay between  4.91  and its current price of 5.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lam Soon Public has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lam Soon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lam Soon Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lam Soon Public has an alpha of 0.0603, implying that it can generate a 0.0603 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lam Soon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lam Soon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lam Soon Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.255.00505.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.61503.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.14.81131.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.925.005.07
Details

Lam Soon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lam Soon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lam Soon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lam Soon Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lam Soon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Lam Soon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lam Soon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lam Soon Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lam Soon Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lam Soon Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lam Soon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lam Soon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lam Soon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding820 M

Lam Soon Technical Analysis

Lam Soon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lam Soon Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lam Soon Predictive Forecast Models

Lam Soon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lam Soon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lam Soon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lam Soon Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lam Soon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lam Soon Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lam Soon Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lam Soon Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lam Stock

Lam Soon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lam with respect to the benefits of owning Lam Soon security.