LT Foods (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 354.43

LTFOODS Stock   354.65  6.15  1.76%   
LT Foods' future price is the expected price of LT Foods instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LT Foods Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LT Foods Backtesting, LT Foods Valuation, LT Foods Correlation, LT Foods Hype Analysis, LT Foods Volatility, LT Foods History as well as LT Foods Performance.
  
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LT Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 354.43

The tendency of LTFOODS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  354.43  or more in 90 days
 354.65 90 days 354.43 
about 8.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LT Foods to drop to  354.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.08 (This LT Foods Limited probability density function shows the probability of LTFOODS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LT Foods Limited price to stay between  354.43  and its current price of 354.65 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LT Foods has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LT Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LT Foods Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LT Foods Limited has an alpha of 0.0059, implying that it can generate a 0.005863 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LT Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LT Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LT Foods Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
351.44354.43357.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
343.21346.20390.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
342.87345.86348.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.505.065.62
Details

LT Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LT Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LT Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LT Foods Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LT Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
25.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

LT Foods Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LT Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LT Foods Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LT Foods Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LT Foods Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Motilal Oswal initiates coverage on LT Foods, predicts 31 percent surge - MSN

LT Foods Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LTFOODS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LT Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LT Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding347.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments496.5 M

LT Foods Technical Analysis

LT Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LTFOODS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LT Foods Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing LTFOODS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LT Foods Predictive Forecast Models

LT Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many LT Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LT Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LT Foods Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about LT Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LT Foods Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LT Foods Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LT Foods Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Motilal Oswal initiates coverage on LT Foods, predicts 31 percent surge - MSN

Additional Tools for LTFOODS Stock Analysis

When running LT Foods' price analysis, check to measure LT Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LT Foods is operating at the current time. Most of LT Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LT Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LT Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LT Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.