Larsen Toubro (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.56
| LTO Stock | EUR 40.60 2.00 4.69% |
Larsen |
Larsen Toubro Target Price Odds to finish below 29.56
The tendency of Larsen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 29.56 or more in 90 days |
| 40.60 | 90 days | 29.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Larsen Toubro to drop to € 29.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Larsen Toubro Limited probability density function shows the probability of Larsen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Larsen Toubro Limited price to stay between € 29.56 and its current price of €40.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Larsen Toubro has a beta of 0.89. This indicates Larsen Toubro Limited market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Larsen Toubro is expected to follow. Additionally Larsen Toubro Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Larsen Toubro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Larsen Toubro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Larsen Toubro Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Larsen Toubro Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Larsen Toubro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Larsen Toubro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Larsen Toubro Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Larsen Toubro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0078 |
Larsen Toubro Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Larsen Toubro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Larsen Toubro Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Larsen Toubro had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Larsen Toubro has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Larsen Toubro Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Larsen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Larsen Toubro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Larsen Toubro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Larsen Toubro Technical Analysis
Larsen Toubro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Larsen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Larsen Toubro Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Larsen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Larsen Toubro Predictive Forecast Models
Larsen Toubro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Larsen Toubro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Larsen Toubro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Larsen Toubro Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Larsen Toubro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Larsen Toubro Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Larsen Toubro had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Larsen Toubro has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Other Information on Investing in Larsen Stock
Larsen Toubro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Larsen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Larsen with respect to the benefits of owning Larsen Toubro security.