Larsen Toubro Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

LTO Stock  EUR 34.20  0.60  1.72%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Larsen Toubro Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 36.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.69. Larsen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Larsen Toubro's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Larsen Toubro's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Larsen Toubro's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Larsen Toubro and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Larsen Toubro's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Larsen Toubro Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Larsen Toubro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Larsen Toubro Limited from the perspective of Larsen Toubro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Larsen Toubro Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 36.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.69.

Larsen Toubro after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 34.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Larsen Toubro to cross-verify your projections.

Larsen Toubro Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Larsen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Larsen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Larsen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Larsen Toubro price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Larsen Toubro Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Larsen Toubro Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 36.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 1.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Larsen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Larsen Toubro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Larsen Toubro Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Larsen ToubroLarsen Toubro Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Larsen Toubro Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Larsen Toubro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Larsen Toubro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.13 and 38.79, respectively. We have considered Larsen Toubro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.20
36.46
Expected Value
38.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Larsen Toubro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Larsen Toubro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.2078
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7982
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0213
SAESum of the absolute errors48.6888
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Larsen Toubro Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Larsen Toubro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Larsen Toubro Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.8734.2036.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.7230.0537.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
34.6037.1939.78
Details

Larsen Toubro After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Larsen Toubro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Larsen Toubro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Larsen Toubro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Larsen Toubro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Larsen Toubro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Larsen Toubro's historical news coverage. Larsen Toubro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.87 and 36.53, respectively. We have considered Larsen Toubro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
34.20
34.20
After-hype Price
36.53
Upside
Larsen Toubro is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Larsen Toubro Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Larsen Toubro Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Larsen Toubro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Larsen Toubro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Larsen Toubro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.33
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.20
34.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Larsen Toubro Hype Timeline

Larsen Toubro Limited is now traded for 34.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Larsen is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Larsen Toubro is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.20. The book value of the company was now reported as 582.29. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of July 2022. Larsen Toubro Limited had 150:100 split on the 26th of July 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Larsen Toubro to cross-verify your projections.

Larsen Toubro Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Larsen Toubro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Larsen Toubro's future price movements. Getting to know how Larsen Toubro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Larsen Toubro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Larsen Toubro

For every potential investor in Larsen, whether a beginner or expert, Larsen Toubro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Larsen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Larsen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Larsen Toubro's price trends.

Larsen Toubro Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Larsen Toubro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Larsen Toubro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Larsen Toubro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Larsen Toubro Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Larsen Toubro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Larsen Toubro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Larsen Toubro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Larsen Toubro Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Larsen Toubro Risk Indicators

The analysis of Larsen Toubro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Larsen Toubro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting larsen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Larsen Toubro

The number of cover stories for Larsen Toubro depends on current market conditions and Larsen Toubro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Larsen Toubro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Larsen Toubro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Larsen Stock

Larsen Toubro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Larsen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Larsen with respect to the benefits of owning Larsen Toubro security.