Luxurban Hotels Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.40
| LUXH Stock | 1.40 0.09 6.87% |
LuxUrban |
LuxUrban Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 1.40
The tendency of LuxUrban Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.40 | 90 days | 1.40 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LuxUrban Hotels to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This LuxUrban Hotels probability density function shows the probability of LuxUrban Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days LuxUrban Hotels has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LuxUrban Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LuxUrban Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LuxUrban Hotels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LuxUrban Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LuxUrban Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LuxUrban Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LuxUrban Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LuxUrban Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LuxUrban Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LuxUrban Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LuxUrban Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LuxUrban Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
LuxUrban Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LuxUrban Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LuxUrban Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LuxUrban Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| LuxUrban Hotels may become a speculative penny stock | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.12 M. | |
| LuxUrban Hotels generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Robert Arigo of 42857 shares of LuxUrban Hotels subject to Rule 16b-3 |
LuxUrban Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LuxUrban Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LuxUrban Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LuxUrban Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 752.8 K |
LuxUrban Hotels Technical Analysis
LuxUrban Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LuxUrban Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LuxUrban Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing LuxUrban Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LuxUrban Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
LuxUrban Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many LuxUrban Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LuxUrban Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LuxUrban Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about LuxUrban Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LuxUrban Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LuxUrban Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| LuxUrban Hotels may become a speculative penny stock | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.12 M. | |
| LuxUrban Hotels generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Robert Arigo of 42857 shares of LuxUrban Hotels subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out LuxUrban Hotels Backtesting, LuxUrban Hotels Valuation, LuxUrban Hotels Correlation, LuxUrban Hotels Hype Analysis, LuxUrban Hotels Volatility, LuxUrban Hotels History as well as LuxUrban Hotels Performance. For more detail on how to invest in LuxUrban Stock please use our How to Invest in LuxUrban Hotels guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LuxUrban Hotels. If investors know LuxUrban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LuxUrban Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (181.30) | Revenue Per Share 1.776 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.43) | Return On Assets (0.22) | Return On Equity (2.51) |
The market value of LuxUrban Hotels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LuxUrban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LuxUrban Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LuxUrban Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LuxUrban Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LuxUrban Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LuxUrban Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LuxUrban Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LuxUrban Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.