LuxUrban Hotels Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 38.26
| LUXHDelisted Stock | 0.28 0.04 12.50% |
LuxUrban |
LuxUrban Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 38.26
The tendency of LuxUrban Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 38.26 or more in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 38.26 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LuxUrban Hotels to move over 38.26 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This LuxUrban Hotels probability density function shows the probability of LuxUrban Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LuxUrban Hotels price to stay between its current price of 0.28 and 38.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days LuxUrban Hotels has a beta of -1.65. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding LuxUrban Hotels are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, LuxUrban Hotels is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally LuxUrban Hotels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LuxUrban Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LuxUrban Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LuxUrban Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LuxUrban Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LuxUrban Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LuxUrban Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LuxUrban Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LuxUrban Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LuxUrban Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
LuxUrban Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LuxUrban Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LuxUrban Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LuxUrban Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.52 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (44.01 M). | |
| LuxUrban Hotels generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
LuxUrban Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LuxUrban Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LuxUrban Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LuxUrban Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 752.8 K |
LuxUrban Hotels Technical Analysis
LuxUrban Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LuxUrban Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LuxUrban Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing LuxUrban Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LuxUrban Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
LuxUrban Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many LuxUrban Hotels' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LuxUrban Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LuxUrban Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about LuxUrban Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LuxUrban Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LuxUrban Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LuxUrban Hotels has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.52 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (44.01 M). | |
| LuxUrban Hotels generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out LuxUrban Hotels Backtesting, LuxUrban Hotels Valuation, LuxUrban Hotels Correlation, LuxUrban Hotels Hype Analysis, LuxUrban Hotels Volatility, LuxUrban Hotels History as well as LuxUrban Hotels Performance. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Other Consideration for investing in LuxUrban Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in LuxUrban Hotels check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the LuxUrban Hotels' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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