Lulus Fashion Lounge Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.34
| LVLU Stock | USD 1.23 0.03 2.38% |
Lulus |
Lulus Fashion Target Price Odds to finish below 1.34
The tendency of Lulus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.34 after 90 days |
| 1.23 | 90 days | 1.34 | about 17.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lulus Fashion to stay under $ 1.34 after 90 days from now is about 17.7 (This Lulus Fashion Lounge probability density function shows the probability of Lulus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lulus Fashion Lounge price to stay between its current price of $ 1.23 and $ 1.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lulus Fashion has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lulus Fashion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lulus Fashion Lounge will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lulus Fashion Lounge has an alpha of 0.2052, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lulus Fashion Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lulus Fashion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lulus Fashion Lounge. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lulus Fashion Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lulus Fashion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lulus Fashion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lulus Fashion Lounge, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lulus Fashion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Lulus Fashion Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lulus Fashion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lulus Fashion Lounge can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lulus Fashion Lounge had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Lulus Fashion Lounge may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 355.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 191.45 M. | |
| Lulus Fashion Lounge has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sheu Caroline Sio-chin of 65147 shares of Lulus Fashion subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Lulus Fashion Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lulus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lulus Fashion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lulus Fashion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 M |
Lulus Fashion Technical Analysis
Lulus Fashion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lulus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lulus Fashion Lounge. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lulus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lulus Fashion Predictive Forecast Models
Lulus Fashion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lulus Fashion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lulus Fashion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lulus Fashion Lounge
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lulus Fashion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lulus Fashion Lounge help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lulus Fashion Lounge had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Lulus Fashion Lounge may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 355.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 191.45 M. | |
| Lulus Fashion Lounge has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sheu Caroline Sio-chin of 65147 shares of Lulus Fashion subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Lulus Stock Analysis
When running Lulus Fashion's price analysis, check to measure Lulus Fashion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lulus Fashion is operating at the current time. Most of Lulus Fashion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lulus Fashion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lulus Fashion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lulus Fashion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.