Law Debenture (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 863.68

LWDB Stock   896.00  7.00  0.79%   
Law Debenture's future price is the expected price of Law Debenture instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Law Debenture Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Law Debenture Backtesting, Law Debenture Valuation, Law Debenture Correlation, Law Debenture Hype Analysis, Law Debenture Volatility, Law Debenture History as well as Law Debenture Performance.
  
Please specify Law Debenture's target price for which you would like Law Debenture odds to be computed.

Law Debenture Target Price Odds to finish below 863.68

The tendency of Law Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  863.68  or more in 90 days
 896.00 90 days 863.68 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Law Debenture to drop to  863.68  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Law Debenture Corp probability density function shows the probability of Law Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Law Debenture Corp price to stay between  863.68  and its current price of 896.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Law Debenture has a beta of 0.39. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Law Debenture average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Law Debenture Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Law Debenture Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Law Debenture Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Law Debenture

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Law Debenture Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
895.09895.90896.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
887.20888.01985.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
891.69892.50893.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
868.57881.83895.10
Details

Law Debenture Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Law Debenture is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Law Debenture's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Law Debenture Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Law Debenture within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
7.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Law Debenture Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Law Debenture for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Law Debenture Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 24th of October 2024 Law Debenture paid 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Law Debenture Stock Price Passes Below 50-Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat

Law Debenture Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Law Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Law Debenture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Law Debenture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding129.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31.4 M

Law Debenture Technical Analysis

Law Debenture's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Law Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Law Debenture Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Law Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Law Debenture Predictive Forecast Models

Law Debenture's time-series forecasting models is one of many Law Debenture's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Law Debenture's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Law Debenture Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Law Debenture for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Law Debenture Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 24th of October 2024 Law Debenture paid 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Law Debenture Stock Price Passes Below 50-Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Law Stock Analysis

When running Law Debenture's price analysis, check to measure Law Debenture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Law Debenture is operating at the current time. Most of Law Debenture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Law Debenture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Law Debenture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Law Debenture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.