Lexinfintech Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.31
| LX Stock | USD 5.07 0.17 3.47% |
Closest to current price Lexinfintech long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Lexinfintech |
Lexinfintech Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3.31
The tendency of Lexinfintech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.31 or more in 90 days |
| 5.07 | 90 days | 3.31 | about 73.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lexinfintech Holdings to drop to $ 3.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 73.28 (This Lexinfintech Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lexinfintech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lexinfintech Holdings price to stay between $ 3.31 and its current price of $5.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.29 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Lexinfintech Holdings has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lexinfintech Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lexinfintech Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Lexinfintech Holdings has an alpha of 1.8208, implying that it can generate a 1.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lexinfintech Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lexinfintech Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lexinfintech Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lexinfintech Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lexinfintech Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lexinfintech Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lexinfintech Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lexinfintech Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lexinfintech Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Lexinfintech Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lexinfintech Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lexinfintech Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lexinfintech Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lexinfintech Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lexinfintech Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 18th of October 2024 Lexinfintech Holdings paid $ 0.072 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: LexinFintech Holdings Third Quarter 2024 Earnings EPS CN1.87 |
Lexinfintech Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lexinfintech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lexinfintech Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lexinfintech Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 179.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 B |
Lexinfintech Holdings Technical Analysis
Lexinfintech Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lexinfintech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lexinfintech Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lexinfintech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lexinfintech Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Lexinfintech Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lexinfintech Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lexinfintech Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lexinfintech Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lexinfintech Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lexinfintech Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lexinfintech Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lexinfintech Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lexinfintech Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 18th of October 2024 Lexinfintech Holdings paid $ 0.072 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: LexinFintech Holdings Third Quarter 2024 Earnings EPS CN1.87 |
Additional Tools for Lexinfintech Stock Analysis
When running Lexinfintech Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Lexinfintech Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lexinfintech Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Lexinfintech Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lexinfintech Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lexinfintech Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lexinfintech Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.