Lexington Realty (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.65
| LXN Stock | EUR 8.70 0.10 1.16% |
Lexington |
Lexington Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 8.65
The tendency of Lexington Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 8.65 in 90 days |
| 8.70 | 90 days | 8.65 | about 76.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lexington Realty to stay above € 8.65 in 90 days from now is about 76.94 (This Lexington Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Lexington Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lexington Realty Trust price to stay between € 8.65 and its current price of €8.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lexington Realty Trust has a beta of -0.17. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lexington Realty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lexington Realty Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lexington Realty Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lexington Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lexington Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lexington Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lexington Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lexington Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lexington Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lexington Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lexington Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Lexington Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lexington Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lexington Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lexington Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lexington Realty has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Lexington Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lexington Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lexington Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lexington Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 291.7 M |
Lexington Realty Technical Analysis
Lexington Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lexington Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lexington Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lexington Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lexington Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Lexington Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lexington Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lexington Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lexington Realty Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lexington Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lexington Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lexington Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lexington Realty has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Lexington Stock
Lexington Realty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lexington Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lexington with respect to the benefits of owning Lexington Realty security.