Lyft (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.73
| LY0 Stock | EUR 15.73 0.08 0.51% |
Lyft |
Lyft Target Price Odds to finish over 15.73
The tendency of Lyft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.73 | 90 days | 15.73 | about 5.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lyft to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.43 (This Lyft Inc probability density function shows the probability of Lyft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lyft has a beta of 0.66. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lyft average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lyft Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lyft Inc has an alpha of 0.6474, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lyft Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lyft
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyft Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lyft Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lyft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lyft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lyft Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lyft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Lyft Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lyft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lyft Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lyft Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.58 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.24 B. | |
| Lyft Inc has accumulated about 2.25 B in cash with (237.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.7. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Lyft Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lyft Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lyft's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lyft's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 370.2 M |
Lyft Technical Analysis
Lyft's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lyft Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lyft Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lyft Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lyft Predictive Forecast Models
Lyft's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lyft's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lyft's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lyft Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lyft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lyft Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lyft Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.58 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.24 B. | |
| Lyft Inc has accumulated about 2.25 B in cash with (237.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.7. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lyft Stock
When determining whether Lyft Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Lyft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Lyft Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Lyft Inc Stock:Check out Lyft Backtesting, Lyft Valuation, Lyft Correlation, Lyft Hype Analysis, Lyft Volatility, Lyft History as well as Lyft Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.