MK Restaurant (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.5

M Stock  THB 24.80  0.30  1.22%   
MK Restaurant's future price is the expected price of MK Restaurant instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MK Restaurant Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MK Restaurant Backtesting, MK Restaurant Valuation, MK Restaurant Correlation, MK Restaurant Hype Analysis, MK Restaurant Volatility, MK Restaurant History as well as MK Restaurant Performance.
  
Please specify MK Restaurant's target price for which you would like MK Restaurant odds to be computed.

MK Restaurant Target Price Odds to finish over 25.5

The tendency of MK Restaurant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  25.50  or more in 90 days
 24.80 90 days 25.50 
about 92.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MK Restaurant to move over  25.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.66 (This MK Restaurant Group probability density function shows the probability of MK Restaurant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MK Restaurant Group price to stay between its current price of  24.80  and  25.50  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MK Restaurant Group has a beta of -0.0869. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MK Restaurant are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MK Restaurant Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MK Restaurant Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MK Restaurant Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MK Restaurant

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MK Restaurant Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7924.5026.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0821.7926.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MK Restaurant. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MK Restaurant's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MK Restaurant's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MK Restaurant Group.

MK Restaurant Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MK Restaurant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MK Restaurant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MK Restaurant Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MK Restaurant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

MK Restaurant Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MK Restaurant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MK Restaurant Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MK Restaurant Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MK Restaurant Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MK Restaurant Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MK Restaurant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MK Restaurant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding920.9 M

MK Restaurant Technical Analysis

MK Restaurant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MK Restaurant Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MK Restaurant Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing MK Restaurant Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MK Restaurant Predictive Forecast Models

MK Restaurant's time-series forecasting models is one of many MK Restaurant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MK Restaurant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MK Restaurant Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about MK Restaurant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MK Restaurant Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MK Restaurant Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in MK Restaurant Stock

MK Restaurant financial ratios help investors to determine whether MK Restaurant Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MK Restaurant with respect to the benefits of owning MK Restaurant security.