Media (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.07
| M8G Stock | 4.09 0.01 0.25% |
Media |
Media Target Price Odds to finish below 4.07
The tendency of Media Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.07 or more in 90 days |
| 4.09 | 90 days | 4.07 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Media to drop to 4.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Media and Games probability density function shows the probability of Media Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Media and Games price to stay between 4.07 and its current price of 4.09 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Media has a beta of 0.0229. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Media and Games will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Media and Games has an alpha of 0.5232, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Media and Games. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Media and Games, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Media and Games can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Media and Games appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Media Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 141.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 181.1 M |
Media Technical Analysis
Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Media Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Media and Games. In general, you should focus on analyzing Media Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Media Predictive Forecast Models
Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Media and Games
Checking the ongoing alerts about Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Media and Games help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Media and Games appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Media Stock Analysis
When running Media's price analysis, check to measure Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Media is operating at the current time. Most of Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.