AP Mller (Denmark) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11601.06
| MAERSK-B | DKK 11,640 365.00 3.04% |
MAERSK-B |
AP Mller Target Price Odds to finish below 11601.06
The tendency of MAERSK-B Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 11,601 or more in 90 days |
| 11,640 | 90 days | 11,601 | about 92.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AP Mller to drop to kr 11,601 or more in 90 days from now is about 92.93 (This AP Mller probability density function shows the probability of MAERSK-B Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AP Mller price to stay between kr 11,601 and its current price of kr11640.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AP Mller has a beta of -0.86. This indicates Additionally AP Mller has an alpha of 0.3215, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AP Mller Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AP Mller
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AP Mller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AP Mller's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AP Mller Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AP Mller is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AP Mller's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AP Mller , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AP Mller within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 665.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
AP Mller Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MAERSK-B Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AP Mller's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AP Mller's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.6 M |
AP Mller Technical Analysis
AP Mller's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MAERSK-B Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AP Mller . In general, you should focus on analyzing MAERSK-B Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AP Mller Predictive Forecast Models
AP Mller's time-series forecasting models is one of many AP Mller's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AP Mller's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AP Mller in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AP Mller's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AP Mller options trading.
Other Information on Investing in MAERSK-B Stock
AP Mller financial ratios help investors to determine whether MAERSK-B Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MAERSK-B with respect to the benefits of owning AP Mller security.