Main Street Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.94
| MAIN Stock | USD 53.97 0.79 1.49% |
Main |
Main Street Target Price Odds to finish below 45.94
The tendency of Main Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 45.94 or more in 90 days |
| 53.97 | 90 days | 45.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Main Street to drop to $ 45.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Main Street Capital probability density function shows the probability of Main Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Main Street Capital price to stay between $ 45.94 and its current price of $53.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Main Street has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Main Street average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Main Street Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Main Street Capital has an alpha of 0.1001, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Main Street Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Main Street
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Main Street Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Main Street Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Main Street is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Main Street's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Main Street Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Main Street within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Main Street Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Main Street for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Main Street Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Main Street Capital currently holds 1.81 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Main Street Capital has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Main Street's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Main Street Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Main Street paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CAP Partners LLC Purchases 258 Shares of Main Street Capital Co. |
Main Street Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Main Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Main Street's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Main Street's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.1 M |
Main Street Technical Analysis
Main Street's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Main Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Main Street Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Main Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Main Street Predictive Forecast Models
Main Street's time-series forecasting models is one of many Main Street's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Main Street's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Main Street Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Main Street for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Main Street Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Main Street Capital currently holds 1.81 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Main Street Capital has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Main Street's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Main Street Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Main Street paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CAP Partners LLC Purchases 258 Shares of Main Street Capital Co. |
Check out Main Street Backtesting, Main Street Valuation, Main Street Correlation, Main Street Hype Analysis, Main Street Volatility, Main Street History as well as Main Street Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Main Street. If investors know Main will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Main Street listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.139 | Dividend Share 2.88 | Earnings Share 5.53 | Revenue Per Share 6.175 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
The market value of Main Street Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Main that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Main Street's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Main Street's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Main Street's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Main Street's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Main Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Main Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Main Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.