Main Street Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MAIN Stock  USD 61.47  0.59  0.97%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Main Street Capital is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Main Street's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Main Street Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Main and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Main Street Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Main Street Buy or Sell Advice

The Main recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Main Street Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Main Street Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Main Street's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Main StreetBuy Main Street
Strong Buy

Market Performance

StrongDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Main Street Capital has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.266, Jensen Alpha of 0.2781, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2771, Sortino Ratio of 0.3813 and Treynor Ratio of 1.75
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Main Street Capital that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Main Street. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Main Street Capital is not overpriced, please verify all Main Street Capital fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Main Street Capital has a price to earning of 85.55 X, we recommend you to check Main Street market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Main Street Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Main Street Capital currently holds 1.81 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Main Street Capital has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Main Street's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Main Street Capital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Entropy Technologies LP Makes New Investment in Main Street Capital Co.

Main Street Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Main Street's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Main Street's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Main Street daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Main Street Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Main Street returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Main Street.
Mean Return
0.29
Value At Risk
-1.07
Potential Upside
1.47
Standard Deviation
0.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Main Street historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Main Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Main Street, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Main Street Capital back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc2024-12-31
220.5 K
Franklin Resources Inc2024-09-30
217.5 K
Smh Capital Inc.2024-12-31
205.8 K
Trinity Legacy Partners Llc2024-12-31
205.2 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
203.1 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-09-30
190.7 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
190.4 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
187.8 K
Tectonic Advisors Llc2024-12-31
185.7 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-09-30
3.4 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-12-31
1.3 M
Note, although Main Street's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Main Street Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(23.3M)710K16.5M11.0M9.9M10.4M
Free Cash Flow(54.1M)(515.4M)(246.9M)285.3M256.8M269.6M
Other Non Cash Items(91.8M)(776.6M)(485.0M)(148.9M)(134.0M)(127.3M)
Dividends Paid144.5M160.5M194.2M271.6M312.3M328.0M
Net Income29.4M330.8M241.6M428.4M492.7M517.3M
End Period Cash Flow31.9M32.6M49.1M60.1M69.1M43.5M
Depreciation5.6M(135.6M)(24.8M)3.3M3.8M4.0M
Net Borrowings115M92M591.2M202M232.3M180.8M
Change To Netincome(171.3M)(92.0M)(877.2M)(481.0M)(432.9M)(454.5M)

Main Street Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Main Street or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Main Street's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Main stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.36

Main Street Volatility Alert

Main Street Capital exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.13 and kurtosis of -0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Main Street's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Main Street's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Main Street Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Main Street's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Main Street's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Main Street and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Main Street or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Main Street's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Main Street by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Main Street to competition
FundamentalsMain StreetPeer Average
Return On Equity0.19-0.31
Return On Asset0.0613-0.14
Profit Margin0.89 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.88 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.55 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding88.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions22.74 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.72 M4.71 M
Price To Earning85.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.01 X9.51 X
Price To Sales10.23 X11.42 X
Revenue500.38 M9.43 B
Gross Profit529.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA322.6 M3.9 B
Net Income428.45 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents43.38 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.59 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.81 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.00 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.42 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share30.57 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations285.32 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.33 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.53 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.09 X4.89 X
Target Price50.4
Number Of Employees10018.84 K
Beta1.29-0.15
Market Capitalization5.42 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings206 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.07 %
Note: Acquisition by Dunia Shive of tradable shares of Main Street at 49.25 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Main Street Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Main . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Main Street Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Main Street Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Main Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Main Street in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Services Thematic Idea Now

Services
Services Theme
Companies involved in delivering services to business or consumers across different industries and sectors. The Services theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Services Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Main Street Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Main Street's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Main Street Capital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Main Street Capital Stock:
Check out Main Street Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Main Street. If investors know Main will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Main Street listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.139
Dividend Share
2.88
Earnings Share
5.53
Revenue Per Share
6.175
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.11
The market value of Main Street Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Main that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Main Street's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Main Street's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Main Street's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Main Street's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Main Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Main Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Main Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.