Malteries Franco (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 721.39

MALT Stock  EUR 730.00  10.00  1.35%   
Malteries Franco's future price is the expected price of Malteries Franco instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Malteries Franco Belges Socit performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Malteries Franco Backtesting, Malteries Franco Valuation, Malteries Franco Correlation, Malteries Franco Hype Analysis, Malteries Franco Volatility, Malteries Franco History as well as Malteries Franco Performance.
  
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Malteries Franco Target Price Odds to finish over 721.39

The tendency of Malteries Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 721.39  in 90 days
 730.00 90 days 721.39 
about 16.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Malteries Franco to stay above € 721.39  in 90 days from now is about 16.33 (This Malteries Franco Belges Socit probability density function shows the probability of Malteries Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Malteries Franco Belges price to stay between € 721.39  and its current price of €730.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Malteries Franco has a beta of 0.0093. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Malteries Franco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Malteries Franco Belges Socit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Malteries Franco Belges Socit has an alpha of 0.2102, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Malteries Franco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Malteries Franco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Malteries Franco Belges. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
728.58730.00731.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
657.00783.94785.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
718.63720.05721.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
715.81728.50741.19
Details

Malteries Franco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Malteries Franco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Malteries Franco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Malteries Franco Belges Socit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Malteries Franco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
39.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Malteries Franco Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Malteries Franco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Malteries Franco Belges can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Malteries Franco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Malteries Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Malteries Franco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Malteries Franco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding496 K
Cash And Short Term Investments76.1 M

Malteries Franco Technical Analysis

Malteries Franco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Malteries Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Malteries Franco Belges Socit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Malteries Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Malteries Franco Predictive Forecast Models

Malteries Franco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Malteries Franco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Malteries Franco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Malteries Franco Belges

Checking the ongoing alerts about Malteries Franco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Malteries Franco Belges help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Malteries Stock

Malteries Franco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Malteries Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Malteries with respect to the benefits of owning Malteries Franco security.