Manchester United Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.21
| MANU Stock | USD 17.21 0.29 1.66% |
Manchester |
Manchester United Target Price Odds to finish below 17.21
The tendency of Manchester Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 17.21 | 90 days | 17.21 | about 81.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manchester United to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 81.93 (This Manchester United probability density function shows the probability of Manchester Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Manchester United has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Manchester United average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Manchester United will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Manchester United has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Manchester United Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Manchester United
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manchester United. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Manchester United Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manchester United is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manchester United's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manchester United, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manchester United within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Manchester United Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manchester United for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manchester United can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Manchester United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Manchester United currently holds 555.26 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.02, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Manchester United has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Manchester United's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 661.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (130.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 547.17 M. | |
| Manchester United has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 31.0% of Manchester United outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Arne Slot provides telling response to Liverpools new title expectations |
Manchester United Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manchester Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manchester United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manchester United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 165.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.5 M |
Manchester United Technical Analysis
Manchester United's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manchester Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manchester United. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manchester Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Manchester United Predictive Forecast Models
Manchester United's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manchester United's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manchester United's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Manchester United
Checking the ongoing alerts about Manchester United for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manchester United help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Manchester United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Manchester United currently holds 555.26 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.02, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Manchester United has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Manchester United's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 661.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (130.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 547.17 M. | |
| Manchester United has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 31.0% of Manchester United outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Arne Slot provides telling response to Liverpools new title expectations |
Additional Tools for Manchester Stock Analysis
When running Manchester United's price analysis, check to measure Manchester United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manchester United is operating at the current time. Most of Manchester United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manchester United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manchester United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manchester United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.