Manchester United Stock Forward View
| MANU Stock | USD 17.40 0.22 1.25% |
Manchester Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Manchester United's stock price is slightly above 61. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Manchester, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.231 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.13 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.39 | Wall Street Target Price 23.1433 |
Using Manchester United hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Manchester United from the perspective of Manchester United response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Manchester United using Manchester United's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Manchester using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Manchester United's stock price.
Manchester United Short Interest
An investor who is long Manchester United may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Manchester United and may potentially protect profits, hedge Manchester United with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 16.252 | Short Percent 0.0837 | Short Ratio 7.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 16.1876 |
Manchester Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Manchester United on the next trading day is expected to be 17.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58.Manchester United Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Manchester United's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Manchester. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Manchester can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Manchester United. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Manchester United's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Manchester United.
Manchester United Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Manchester United's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Manchester United stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Manchester United's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Manchester United stock will not fluctuate a lot when Manchester United's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Manchester United on the next trading day is expected to be 17.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58. Manchester United after-hype prediction price | USD 17.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Manchester | Build AI portfolio with Manchester Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Manchester contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Manchester United will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Manchester United trading at USD 17.4, that is roughly USD 0.008917 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Manchester United's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Manchester United options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Manchester Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Manchester United's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Manchester United's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Manchester United stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Manchester United's open interest, investors have to compare it to Manchester United's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Manchester United is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Manchester. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Manchester United Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Manchester price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Manchester using various technical indicators. When you analyze Manchester charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Manchester United's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1999-12-31 | Previous Quarter 86.1 M | Current Value 108.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 84.9 M |
Manchester United Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Manchester United on the next trading day is expected to be 17.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Manchester Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Manchester United's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Manchester United Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Manchester United | Manchester United Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Manchester United Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Manchester United's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Manchester United's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.19 and 18.78, respectively. We have considered Manchester United's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Manchester United stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Manchester United stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9838 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1734 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0108 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.5754 |
Predictive Modules for Manchester United
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manchester United. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Manchester United After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Manchester United at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Manchester United or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Manchester United, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Manchester United Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Manchester United's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Manchester United's historical news coverage. Manchester United's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.11 and 18.69, respectively. We have considered Manchester United's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Manchester United is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Manchester United is based on 3 months time horizon.
Manchester United Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Manchester United is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Manchester United backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Manchester United, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.29 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.40 | 17.40 | 0.00 |
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Manchester United Hype Timeline
Manchester United is now traded for 17.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Manchester is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Manchester United is about 304.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.48. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 819.62. Manchester United recorded a loss per share of 0.33. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Manchester United to cross-verify your projections.Manchester United Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Manchester United's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Manchester United's future price movements. Getting to know how Manchester United's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Manchester United may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.42 | (2.93) | 10.21 | |
| FOXA | Fox Corp Class | (0.79) | 9 per month | 1.35 | (0.01) | 2.02 | (2.12) | 5.50 | |
| TME | Tencent Music Entertainment | (0.65) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.47 | (4.93) | 12.10 | |
| CHT | Chunghwa Telecom Co | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.87 | (1.14) | 2.99 | |
| RDDT | (6.84) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.11 | (7.69) | 21.40 | ||
| WMG | Warner Music Group | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.58 | (2.97) | 10.13 | |
| TKO | TKO Group Holdings | 1.15 | 10 per month | 1.72 | 0.06 | 3.18 | (2.69) | 7.61 | |
| CHTR | Charter Communications | 10.56 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.26 | (4.25) | 9.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for Manchester United
For every potential investor in Manchester, whether a beginner or expert, Manchester United's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Manchester Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Manchester. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Manchester United's price trends.Manchester United Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Manchester United stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Manchester United could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Manchester United by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Manchester United Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Manchester United stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Manchester United shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Manchester United stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Manchester United entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Manchester United Risk Indicators
The analysis of Manchester United's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Manchester United's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting manchester stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Manchester United
The number of cover stories for Manchester United depends on current market conditions and Manchester United's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Manchester United is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Manchester United's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Manchester United Short Properties
Manchester United's future price predictability will typically decrease when Manchester United's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Manchester United often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Manchester United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manchester United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 172.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.1 M |
Additional Tools for Manchester Stock Analysis
When running Manchester United's price analysis, check to measure Manchester United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manchester United is operating at the current time. Most of Manchester United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manchester United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manchester United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manchester United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.