Marstons PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.0
| MARS Stock | 45.50 1.70 3.88% |
Marstons |
Marstons PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 43.0
The tendency of Marstons Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 43.00 or more in 90 days |
| 45.50 | 90 days | 43.00 | about 80.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marstons PLC to drop to 43.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 80.91 (This Marstons PLC probability density function shows the probability of Marstons Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marstons PLC price to stay between 43.00 and its current price of 45.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Marstons PLC has a beta of -0.0784. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Marstons PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Marstons PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Marstons PLC has an alpha of 0.279, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marstons PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marstons PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marstons PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marstons PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marstons PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marstons PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marstons PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marstons PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Marstons PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marstons PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marstons PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marstons PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 872.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 379.6 M. | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Market Doesnt Like What It Sees From Marstons PLCs Revenues Yet - Simply Wall St |
Marstons PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marstons Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marstons PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marstons PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 633.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.6 M |
Marstons PLC Technical Analysis
Marstons PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marstons Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marstons PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marstons Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marstons PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Marstons PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marstons PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marstons PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marstons PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marstons PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marstons PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marstons PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 872.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 379.6 M. | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Market Doesnt Like What It Sees From Marstons PLCs Revenues Yet - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for Marstons Stock Analysis
When running Marstons PLC's price analysis, check to measure Marstons PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marstons PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Marstons PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marstons PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marstons PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marstons PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.