Matson Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 153.95
| MATX Stock | USD 153.95 1.31 0.86% |
Matson |
Matson Target Price Odds to finish below 153.95
The tendency of Matson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 153.95 | 90 days | 153.95 | about 86.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matson to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 86.63 (This Matson Inc probability density function shows the probability of Matson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Matson has a beta of 0.93. This indicates Matson Inc market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Matson is expected to follow. Additionally Matson Inc has an alpha of 0.1395, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Matson Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Matson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matson Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matson Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matson Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Matson Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matson Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AI chip startup MatX, founded by Google alums, raises Series A at 300M valuation, sources say |
Matson Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Matson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Matson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134 M |
Matson Technical Analysis
Matson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matson Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Matson Predictive Forecast Models
Matson's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Matson Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Matson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matson Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AI chip startup MatX, founded by Google alums, raises Series A at 300M valuation, sources say |
Additional Tools for Matson Stock Analysis
When running Matson's price analysis, check to measure Matson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Matson is operating at the current time. Most of Matson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Matson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Matson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Matson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.