Mobly SA (Brazil) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.45
| MBLY3 Stock | BRL 1.61 0.05 3.01% |
Mobly |
Mobly SA Target Price Odds to finish over 5.45
The tendency of Mobly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 5.45 or more in 90 days |
| 1.61 | 90 days | 5.45 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mobly SA to move over R$ 5.45 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Mobly SA probability density function shows the probability of Mobly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mobly SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 1.61 and R$ 5.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mobly SA has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mobly SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mobly SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mobly SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mobly SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mobly SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobly SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mobly SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mobly SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mobly SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mobly SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mobly SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Mobly SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mobly SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mobly SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mobly SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mobly SA may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Mobly SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Mobly SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 721.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (84.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 287.07 M. | |
| Mobly SA has accumulated about 271.53 M in cash with (339.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.34, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mobly SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mobly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mobly SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mobly SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 271.5 M |
Mobly SA Technical Analysis
Mobly SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mobly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mobly SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mobly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mobly SA Predictive Forecast Models
Mobly SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mobly SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mobly SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mobly SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mobly SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mobly SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mobly SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mobly SA may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Mobly SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Mobly SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 721.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (84.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 287.07 M. | |
| Mobly SA has accumulated about 271.53 M in cash with (339.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.34, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Mobly Stock Analysis
When running Mobly SA's price analysis, check to measure Mobly SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mobly SA is operating at the current time. Most of Mobly SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mobly SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mobly SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mobly SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.