Mfs Maryland Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.41
| MBMDX Fund | USD 10.15 0.02 0.20% |
Mfs |
Mfs Maryland Target Price Odds to finish over 10.41
The tendency of Mfs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.41 or more in 90 days |
| 10.15 | 90 days | 10.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mfs Maryland to move over $ 10.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mfs Maryland Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Mfs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mfs Maryland Municipal price to stay between its current price of $ 10.15 and $ 10.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.81 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs Maryland Municipal has a beta of -0.0992. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mfs Maryland are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mfs Maryland Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mfs Maryland Municipal has an alpha of 0.0112, implying that it can generate a 0.0112 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mfs Maryland Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mfs Maryland
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Maryland Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mfs Maryland's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mfs Maryland Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mfs Maryland is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mfs Maryland's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mfs Maryland Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mfs Maryland within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.49 |
Mfs Maryland Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mfs Maryland for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mfs Maryland Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Mfs Maryland Municipal maintains about 10.48% of its assets in cash |
Mfs Maryland Technical Analysis
Mfs Maryland's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mfs Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mfs Maryland Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mfs Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mfs Maryland Predictive Forecast Models
Mfs Maryland's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mfs Maryland's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mfs Maryland's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mfs Maryland Municipal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mfs Maryland for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mfs Maryland Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Mfs Maryland Municipal maintains about 10.48% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund
Mfs Maryland financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Maryland security.
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data |