Mitrabahtera Segara (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 956.55
| MBSS Stock | IDR 1,065 15.00 1.39% |
Mitrabahtera |
Mitrabahtera Segara Target Price Odds to finish below 956.55
The tendency of Mitrabahtera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 956.55 or more in 90 days |
| 1,065 | 90 days | 956.55 | about 7.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitrabahtera Segara to drop to 956.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.19 (This Mitrabahtera Segara Sejati probability density function shows the probability of Mitrabahtera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mitrabahtera Segara price to stay between 956.55 and its current price of 1065.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mitrabahtera Segara has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mitrabahtera Segara average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mitrabahtera Segara Sejati will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mitrabahtera Segara Sejati has an alpha of 0.0805, implying that it can generate a 0.0805 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mitrabahtera Segara Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mitrabahtera Segara
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitrabahtera Segara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mitrabahtera Segara Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitrabahtera Segara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitrabahtera Segara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitrabahtera Segara Sejati, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitrabahtera Segara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 122.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0082 |
Mitrabahtera Segara Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitrabahtera Segara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitrabahtera Segara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mitrabahtera Segara Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitrabahtera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitrabahtera Segara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitrabahtera Segara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.2 M |
Mitrabahtera Segara Technical Analysis
Mitrabahtera Segara's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mitrabahtera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mitrabahtera Segara Sejati. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mitrabahtera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mitrabahtera Segara Predictive Forecast Models
Mitrabahtera Segara's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mitrabahtera Segara's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mitrabahtera Segara's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mitrabahtera Segara
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitrabahtera Segara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitrabahtera Segara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mitrabahtera Stock
Mitrabahtera Segara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mitrabahtera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mitrabahtera with respect to the benefits of owning Mitrabahtera Segara security.