Martina Berto (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 82.66
| MBTO Stock | IDR 91.00 2.00 2.15% |
Martina |
Martina Berto Target Price Odds to finish below 82.66
The tendency of Martina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 82.66 or more in 90 days |
| 91.00 | 90 days | 82.66 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Martina Berto to drop to 82.66 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Martina Berto Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Martina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Martina Berto Tbk price to stay between 82.66 and its current price of 91.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Martina Berto has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Martina Berto average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Martina Berto Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Martina Berto Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Martina Berto Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Martina Berto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Martina Berto Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Martina Berto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Martina Berto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Martina Berto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Martina Berto Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Martina Berto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Martina Berto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Martina Berto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Martina Berto Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Martina Berto Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 210.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (148.77 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.67 B. | |
| Martina Berto generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Martina Berto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Martina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Martina Berto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Martina Berto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 B |
Martina Berto Technical Analysis
Martina Berto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Martina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Martina Berto Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Martina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Martina Berto Predictive Forecast Models
Martina Berto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Martina Berto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Martina Berto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Martina Berto Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Martina Berto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Martina Berto Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Martina Berto Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 210.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (148.77 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.67 B. | |
| Martina Berto generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Martina Stock
Martina Berto financial ratios help investors to determine whether Martina Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Martina with respect to the benefits of owning Martina Berto security.