Blackrock Focus Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.76

MDFOX Fund  USD 7.75  0.05  0.64%   
Blackrock Focus' future price is the expected price of Blackrock Focus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock Focus Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock Focus Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock Focus Correlation, Blackrock Focus Hype Analysis, Blackrock Focus Volatility, Blackrock Focus History as well as Blackrock Focus Performance.
  
Please specify Blackrock Focus' target price for which you would like Blackrock Focus odds to be computed.

Blackrock Focus Target Price Odds to finish below 7.76

The tendency of Blackrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 7.76  after 90 days
 7.75 90 days 7.76 
about 89.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock Focus to stay under $ 7.76  after 90 days from now is about 89.27 (This Blackrock Focus Growth probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock Focus Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 7.75  and $ 7.76  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock Focus has a beta of 0.95. This indicates Blackrock Focus Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Blackrock Focus is expected to follow. Additionally Blackrock Focus Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blackrock Focus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock Focus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Focus Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.627.808.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.517.698.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.537.728.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.397.697.99
Details

Blackrock Focus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock Focus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock Focus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock Focus Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock Focus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Blackrock Focus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock Focus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock Focus Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 95.56% of its assets in stocks

Blackrock Focus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackrock Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackrock Focus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackrock Focus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Blackrock Focus Technical Analysis

Blackrock Focus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock Focus Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock Focus Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock Focus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock Focus' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock Focus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock Focus Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock Focus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Focus Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 95.56% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock Focus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Focus security.
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