Meta Platforms Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 561.69
| META Stock | USD 559.63 3.46 0.61% |
Meta |
Meta Platforms Target Price Odds to finish below 561.69
The tendency of Meta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 561.69 after 90 days |
| 559.63 | 90 days | 561.69 | about 54.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meta Platforms to stay under $ 561.69 after 90 days from now is about 54.02 (This Meta Platforms probability density function shows the probability of Meta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meta Platforms price to stay between its current price of $ 559.63 and $ 561.69 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Meta Platforms has a beta of 0.67. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Meta Platforms average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Meta Platforms will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Meta Platforms has an alpha of 0.0129, implying that it can generate a 0.0129 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meta Platforms Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meta Platforms
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meta Platforms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meta Platforms' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Meta Platforms Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meta Platforms is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meta Platforms' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meta Platforms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meta Platforms within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 27.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Meta Platforms Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meta Platforms for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meta Platforms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 26th of September 2024 Meta Platforms paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: AI patents soar in Silicon Valley, with more on the way |
Meta Platforms Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meta Platforms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meta Platforms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 65.4 B |
Meta Platforms Technical Analysis
Meta Platforms' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meta Platforms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meta Platforms Predictive Forecast Models
Meta Platforms' time-series forecasting models is one of many Meta Platforms' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meta Platforms' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meta Platforms
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meta Platforms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meta Platforms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 26th of September 2024 Meta Platforms paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: AI patents soar in Silicon Valley, with more on the way |
Check out Meta Platforms Backtesting, Meta Platforms Valuation, Meta Platforms Correlation, Meta Platforms Hype Analysis, Meta Platforms Volatility, Meta Platforms History as well as Meta Platforms Performance. For information on how to trade Meta Stock refer to our How to Trade Meta Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Meta Platforms. If investors know Meta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Meta Platforms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.374 | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 21.17 | Revenue Per Share 61.428 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.189 |
The market value of Meta Platforms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Meta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Meta Platforms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Meta Platforms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Meta Platforms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Meta Platforms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Meta Platforms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Meta Platforms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Meta Platforms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.