Marketfield Fund Marketfield Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.57
| MFADX Fund | USD 23.38 0.01 0.04% |
Marketfield |
Marketfield Fund Target Price Odds to finish over 24.57
The tendency of Marketfield Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 24.57 or more in 90 days |
| 23.38 | 90 days | 24.57 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marketfield Fund to move over $ 24.57 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Marketfield Fund Marketfield probability density function shows the probability of Marketfield Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marketfield Fund Mar price to stay between its current price of $ 23.38 and $ 24.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Marketfield Fund has a beta of 0.72. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marketfield Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marketfield Fund Marketfield will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marketfield Fund Marketfield has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Marketfield Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marketfield Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marketfield Fund Mar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marketfield Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marketfield Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marketfield Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marketfield Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marketfield Fund Marketfield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marketfield Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Marketfield Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marketfield Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marketfield Fund Mar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 40.07% of its assets in cash |
Marketfield Fund Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marketfield Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marketfield Fund's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marketfield Fund's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Marketfield Fund Technical Analysis
Marketfield Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marketfield Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marketfield Fund Marketfield. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marketfield Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marketfield Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Marketfield Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marketfield Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marketfield Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marketfield Fund Mar
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marketfield Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marketfield Fund Mar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 40.07% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Marketfield Mutual Fund
Marketfield Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marketfield Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marketfield with respect to the benefits of owning Marketfield Fund security.
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets |