Manulife Fin Non Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 24.45
| MFC-PJ Preferred Stock | CAD 23.80 0.05 0.21% |
Manulife |
Manulife Fin Target Price Odds to finish over 24.45
The tendency of Manulife Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 24.45 or more in 90 days |
| 23.80 | 90 days | 24.45 | about 26.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manulife Fin to move over C$ 24.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.45 (This Manulife Fin Non probability density function shows the probability of Manulife Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Manulife Fin Non price to stay between its current price of C$ 23.80 and C$ 24.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Manulife Fin Non has a beta of -0.0149. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Manulife Fin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Manulife Fin Non is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Manulife Fin Non has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Manulife Fin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Manulife Fin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manulife Fin Non. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Manulife Fin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manulife Fin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manulife Fin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manulife Fin Non, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manulife Fin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.37 |
Manulife Fin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manulife Fin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manulife Fin Non can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Manulife Fin Non generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Manulife Fin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manulife Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manulife Fin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manulife Fin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Manulife Fin Technical Analysis
Manulife Fin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manulife Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manulife Fin Non. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manulife Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Manulife Fin Predictive Forecast Models
Manulife Fin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manulife Fin's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manulife Fin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Manulife Fin Non
Checking the ongoing alerts about Manulife Fin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manulife Fin Non help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Manulife Fin Non generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Manulife Preferred Stock
Manulife Fin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Manulife Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Manulife with respect to the benefits of owning Manulife Fin security.