Mandala Multifinance (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4,077
| MFIN Stock | IDR 3,350 0.00 0.00% |
Mandala |
Mandala Multifinance Target Price Odds to finish below 4,077
The tendency of Mandala Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 3,350 | 90 days | 3,350 | about 86.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mandala Multifinance to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 86.7 (This Mandala Multifinance Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Mandala Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mandala Multifinance has a beta of 0.26. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mandala Multifinance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mandala Multifinance Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Mandala Multifinance Tbk has an alpha of 1.3869, implying that it can generate a 1.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mandala Multifinance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mandala Multifinance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mandala Multifinance Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mandala Multifinance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mandala Multifinance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mandala Multifinance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mandala Multifinance Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mandala Multifinance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 796.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Mandala Multifinance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mandala Multifinance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mandala Multifinance Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mandala Multifinance is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mandala Multifinance appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Mandala Multifinance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Mandala Multifinance Tbk has accumulated about 60.03 B in cash with (429.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 31.47. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mandala Multifinance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mandala Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mandala Multifinance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mandala Multifinance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 627.4 B |
Mandala Multifinance Technical Analysis
Mandala Multifinance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mandala Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mandala Multifinance Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mandala Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mandala Multifinance Predictive Forecast Models
Mandala Multifinance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mandala Multifinance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mandala Multifinance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mandala Multifinance Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mandala Multifinance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mandala Multifinance Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mandala Multifinance is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mandala Multifinance appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Mandala Multifinance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Mandala Multifinance Tbk has accumulated about 60.03 B in cash with (429.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 31.47. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mandala Stock
Mandala Multifinance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mandala Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mandala with respect to the benefits of owning Mandala Multifinance security.