Maiden Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.59
| MHLA Stock | USD 16.75 0.32 1.87% |
Maiden |
Maiden Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 16.59
The tendency of Maiden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.59 or more in 90 days |
| 16.75 | 90 days | 16.59 | about 46.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maiden Holdings to drop to $ 16.59 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.3 (This Maiden Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Maiden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maiden Holdings price to stay between $ 16.59 and its current price of $16.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Maiden Holdings has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Maiden Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maiden Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Maiden Holdings has an alpha of 0.0468, implying that it can generate a 0.0468 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Maiden Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Maiden Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maiden Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maiden Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maiden Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maiden Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maiden Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maiden Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Maiden Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maiden Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maiden Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Maiden Holdings currently holds 254.6 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 21.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Maiden Holdings has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Maiden Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 89.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.57 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (59.62 M). | |
| Maiden Holdings currently holds about 73.28 M in cash with (59.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.88. | |
| Maiden Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Maiden Holdings Q3 Earnings Snapshot - Milford Mirror |
Maiden Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maiden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maiden Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maiden Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.4 M |
Maiden Holdings Technical Analysis
Maiden Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maiden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maiden Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maiden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Maiden Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Maiden Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Maiden Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maiden Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Maiden Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Maiden Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maiden Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Maiden Holdings currently holds 254.6 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 21.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Maiden Holdings has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Maiden Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 89.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.57 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (59.62 M). | |
| Maiden Holdings currently holds about 73.28 M in cash with (59.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.88. | |
| Maiden Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Maiden Holdings Q3 Earnings Snapshot - Milford Mirror |
Check out Maiden Holdings Backtesting, Maiden Holdings Valuation, Maiden Holdings Correlation, Maiden Holdings Hype Analysis, Maiden Holdings Volatility, Maiden Holdings History as well as Maiden Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade Maiden Stock refer to our How to Trade Maiden Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Maiden Holdings. If investors know Maiden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Maiden Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 0.6 |
The market value of Maiden Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Maiden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Maiden Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Maiden Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Maiden Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Maiden Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Maiden Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Maiden Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Maiden Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.