Military Insurance (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17,099

MIG Stock   18,100  1,150  6.78%   
Military Insurance's future price is the expected price of Military Insurance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Military Insurance Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Military Insurance Backtesting, Military Insurance Valuation, Military Insurance Correlation, Military Insurance Hype Analysis, Military Insurance Volatility, Military Insurance History as well as Military Insurance Performance.
  
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Military Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 17,099

The tendency of Military Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 18,100 90 days 18,100 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Military Insurance to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Military Insurance Corp probability density function shows the probability of Military Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Military Insurance has a beta of 0.24. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Military Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Military Insurance Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Military Insurance Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Military Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Military Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Military Insurance Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,94916,95016,951
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16,44016,44218,645
Details

Military Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Military Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Military Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Military Insurance Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Military Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
531.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Military Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Military Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Military Insurance Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Military Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Military Insurance Technical Analysis

Military Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Military Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Military Insurance Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Military Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Military Insurance Predictive Forecast Models

Military Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Military Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Military Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Military Insurance Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Military Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Military Insurance Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Military Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Military Stock

Military Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Military Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Military with respect to the benefits of owning Military Insurance security.