Miko NV (Belgium) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.72

MIKO Stock  EUR 52.00  0.60  1.17%   
Miko NV's future price is the expected price of Miko NV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Miko NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Miko NV Backtesting, Miko NV Valuation, Miko NV Correlation, Miko NV Hype Analysis, Miko NV Volatility, Miko NV History as well as Miko NV Performance.
  
Please specify Miko NV's target price for which you would like Miko NV odds to be computed.

Miko NV Target Price Odds to finish over 51.72

The tendency of Miko Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 51.72  in 90 days
 52.00 90 days 51.72 
about 35.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Miko NV to stay above € 51.72  in 90 days from now is about 35.03 (This Miko NV probability density function shows the probability of Miko Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Miko NV price to stay between € 51.72  and its current price of €52.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Miko NV has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Miko NV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Miko NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Miko NV has an alpha of 0.0109, implying that it can generate a 0.0109 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Miko NV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Miko NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Miko NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.5852.0053.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.0550.4757.20
Details

Miko NV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Miko NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Miko NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Miko NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Miko NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Miko NV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Miko NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Miko NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Miko NV has accumulated €31.33 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Miko NV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Miko Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Miko NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Miko NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments45.8 M

Miko NV Technical Analysis

Miko NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Miko Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Miko NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Miko Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Miko NV Predictive Forecast Models

Miko NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Miko NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Miko NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Miko NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Miko NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Miko NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Miko NV has accumulated €31.33 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Miko Stock Analysis

When running Miko NV's price analysis, check to measure Miko NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Miko NV is operating at the current time. Most of Miko NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Miko NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Miko NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Miko NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.