Mfs Intermediate Income Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.63
| MIN Stock | USD 2.72 0.03 1.12% |
MFS |
MFS Intermediate Target Price Odds to finish over 4.63
The tendency of MFS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.63 or more in 90 days |
| 2.72 | 90 days | 4.63 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFS Intermediate to move over $ 4.63 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This MFS Intermediate Income probability density function shows the probability of MFS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MFS Intermediate Income price to stay between its current price of $ 2.72 and $ 4.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.68 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon MFS Intermediate has a beta of 0.0733. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MFS Intermediate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MFS Intermediate Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MFS Intermediate Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MFS Intermediate Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MFS Intermediate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFS Intermediate Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MFS Intermediate Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFS Intermediate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFS Intermediate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFS Intermediate Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFS Intermediate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
MFS Intermediate Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFS Intermediate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFS Intermediate Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 31st of October 2024 MFS Intermediate paid $ 0.0204 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from stockhead.com.au: Open the gates Hedley Widdup says exploration IPO market could revive in 2025 |
MFS Intermediate Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFS Intermediate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFS Intermediate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114 M |
MFS Intermediate Technical Analysis
MFS Intermediate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MFS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MFS Intermediate Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing MFS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MFS Intermediate Predictive Forecast Models
MFS Intermediate's time-series forecasting models is one of many MFS Intermediate's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MFS Intermediate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MFS Intermediate Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about MFS Intermediate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MFS Intermediate Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On 31st of October 2024 MFS Intermediate paid $ 0.0204 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from stockhead.com.au: Open the gates Hedley Widdup says exploration IPO market could revive in 2025 |
Check out MFS Intermediate Backtesting, MFS Intermediate Valuation, MFS Intermediate Correlation, MFS Intermediate Hype Analysis, MFS Intermediate Volatility, MFS Intermediate History as well as MFS Intermediate Performance. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MFS Intermediate. If investors know MFS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MFS Intermediate listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Dividend Share 0.247 | Earnings Share 0.02 | Revenue Per Share 0.107 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 |
The market value of MFS Intermediate Income is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MFS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MFS Intermediate's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MFS Intermediate's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MFS Intermediate's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MFS Intermediate's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MFS Intermediate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MFS Intermediate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MFS Intermediate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.