Marks (UK) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 339.02
| MKS Stock | 378.70 0.70 0.18% |
Marks |
Marks Target Price Odds to finish below 339.02
The tendency of Marks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 339.02 or more in 90 days |
| 378.70 | 90 days | 339.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marks to drop to 339.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Marks and Spencer probability density function shows the probability of Marks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marks and Spencer price to stay between 339.02 and its current price of 378.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Marks and Spencer has a beta of -0.085. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Marks are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Marks and Spencer is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Marks and Spencer has an alpha of 0.0174, implying that it can generate a 0.0174 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marks and Spencer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marks and Spencer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0053 |
Marks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marks and Spencer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Marks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Marks Technical Analysis
Marks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marks Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marks and Spencer. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marks Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marks Predictive Forecast Models
Marks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Marks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marks and Spencer
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marks and Spencer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Marks Stock
Marks financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marks Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marks with respect to the benefits of owning Marks security.