Mfs Series Trust Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.22
| MKVHX Fund | USD 14.22 0.08 0.57% |
Mfs |
Mfs Series Target Price Odds to finish over 14.22
The tendency of Mfs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.22 | 90 days | 14.22 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mfs Series to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Mfs Series Trust probability density function shows the probability of Mfs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs Series has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mfs Series average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mfs Series Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mfs Series Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mfs Series Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mfs Series
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Series Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mfs Series Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mfs Series is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mfs Series' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mfs Series Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mfs Series within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Mfs Series Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mfs Series for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mfs Series Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mfs Series Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 98.54% of its assets in stocks |
Mfs Series Technical Analysis
Mfs Series' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mfs Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mfs Series Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mfs Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mfs Series Predictive Forecast Models
Mfs Series' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mfs Series' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mfs Series' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mfs Series Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mfs Series for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mfs Series Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mfs Series Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 98.54% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund
Mfs Series financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Series security.
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