France Tourisme (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0335
| MLFTI Stock | EUR 0.03 0.0005 1.47% |
France |
France Tourisme Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0335
The tendency of France Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 82.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of France Tourisme to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.41 (This France Tourisme Immobilier probability density function shows the probability of France Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.78 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, France Tourisme will likely underperform. Additionally France Tourisme Immobilier has an alpha of 0.1885, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). France Tourisme Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for France Tourisme
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as France Tourisme Immo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.France Tourisme Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. France Tourisme is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the France Tourisme's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold France Tourisme Immobilier, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of France Tourisme within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
France Tourisme Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of France Tourisme for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for France Tourisme Immo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| France Tourisme Immo is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| France Tourisme Immo has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| France Tourisme Immo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| France Tourisme Immo has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 85.85 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.42 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (328.25 K). |
France Tourisme Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of France Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential France Tourisme's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. France Tourisme's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 14.3 M |
France Tourisme Technical Analysis
France Tourisme's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. France Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of France Tourisme Immobilier. In general, you should focus on analyzing France Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
France Tourisme Predictive Forecast Models
France Tourisme's time-series forecasting models is one of many France Tourisme's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary France Tourisme's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about France Tourisme Immo
Checking the ongoing alerts about France Tourisme for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for France Tourisme Immo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| France Tourisme Immo is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| France Tourisme Immo has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| France Tourisme Immo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| France Tourisme Immo has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 85.85 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.42 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (328.25 K). |
Additional Tools for France Stock Analysis
When running France Tourisme's price analysis, check to measure France Tourisme's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy France Tourisme is operating at the current time. Most of France Tourisme's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of France Tourisme's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move France Tourisme's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of France Tourisme to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.