MLRN Projects (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 572.91

MLRN Stock  ILA 691.70  9.04  1.32%   
MLRN Projects' future price is the expected price of MLRN Projects instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MLRN Projects and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MLRN Projects Backtesting, MLRN Projects Valuation, MLRN Projects Correlation, MLRN Projects Hype Analysis, MLRN Projects Volatility, MLRN Projects History as well as MLRN Projects Performance.
  
Please specify MLRN Projects' target price for which you would like MLRN Projects odds to be computed.

MLRN Projects Target Price Odds to finish below 572.91

The tendency of MLRN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  572.91  or more in 90 days
 691.70 90 days 572.91 
about 35.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MLRN Projects to drop to  572.91  or more in 90 days from now is about 35.43 (This MLRN Projects and probability density function shows the probability of MLRN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MLRN Projects price to stay between  572.91  and its current price of 691.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MLRN Projects has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MLRN Projects average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MLRN Projects and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MLRN Projects and has an alpha of 0.3615, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MLRN Projects Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MLRN Projects

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MLRN Projects. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
689.91691.70693.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
622.53769.61771.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
704.67706.47708.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
680.16688.69697.21
Details

MLRN Projects Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MLRN Projects is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MLRN Projects' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MLRN Projects and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MLRN Projects within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
50.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

MLRN Projects Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MLRN Projects for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MLRN Projects can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MLRN Projects and has accumulated about 38.15 M in cash with (150.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.64.
Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MLRN Projects Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MLRN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MLRN Projects' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MLRN Projects' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.077
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.61
Shares Float3.4 M

MLRN Projects Technical Analysis

MLRN Projects' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MLRN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MLRN Projects and. In general, you should focus on analyzing MLRN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MLRN Projects Predictive Forecast Models

MLRN Projects' time-series forecasting models is one of many MLRN Projects' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MLRN Projects' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MLRN Projects

Checking the ongoing alerts about MLRN Projects for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MLRN Projects help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MLRN Projects and has accumulated about 38.15 M in cash with (150.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.64.
Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in MLRN Stock

MLRN Projects financial ratios help investors to determine whether MLRN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MLRN with respect to the benefits of owning MLRN Projects security.