Indexiq Active Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 20.78

MMCA Etf  USD 21.62  0.02  0.09%   
IndexIQ Active's future price is the expected price of IndexIQ Active instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IndexIQ Active ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IndexIQ Active Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IndexIQ Active Correlation, IndexIQ Active Hype Analysis, IndexIQ Active Volatility, IndexIQ Active History as well as IndexIQ Active Performance.
  
Please specify IndexIQ Active's target price for which you would like IndexIQ Active odds to be computed.

IndexIQ Active Target Price Odds to finish below 20.78

The tendency of IndexIQ Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.78  or more in 90 days
 21.62 90 days 20.78 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IndexIQ Active to drop to $ 20.78  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IndexIQ Active ETF probability density function shows the probability of IndexIQ Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IndexIQ Active ETF price to stay between $ 20.78  and its current price of $21.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IndexIQ Active ETF has a beta of -0.0736. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IndexIQ Active are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IndexIQ Active ETF is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IndexIQ Active ETF has an alpha of 0.0068, implying that it can generate a 0.006823 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IndexIQ Active Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IndexIQ Active

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IndexIQ Active ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IndexIQ Active's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4021.6221.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8321.0523.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.3921.6121.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.5421.6021.65
Details

IndexIQ Active Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IndexIQ Active is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IndexIQ Active's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IndexIQ Active ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IndexIQ Active within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.57

IndexIQ Active Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IndexIQ Active for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IndexIQ Active ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Seaport Res Ptn Has Optimistic Outlook of Visa Q1 Earnings - Defense World
The fund maintains about 9.48% of its assets in bonds

IndexIQ Active Technical Analysis

IndexIQ Active's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IndexIQ Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IndexIQ Active ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing IndexIQ Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IndexIQ Active Predictive Forecast Models

IndexIQ Active's time-series forecasting models is one of many IndexIQ Active's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IndexIQ Active's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IndexIQ Active ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about IndexIQ Active for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IndexIQ Active ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Seaport Res Ptn Has Optimistic Outlook of Visa Q1 Earnings - Defense World
The fund maintains about 9.48% of its assets in bonds
When determining whether IndexIQ Active ETF is a strong investment it is important to analyze IndexIQ Active's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact IndexIQ Active's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding IndexIQ Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out IndexIQ Active Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IndexIQ Active Correlation, IndexIQ Active Hype Analysis, IndexIQ Active Volatility, IndexIQ Active History as well as IndexIQ Active Performance.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
The market value of IndexIQ Active ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IndexIQ that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IndexIQ Active's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IndexIQ Active's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IndexIQ Active's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IndexIQ Active's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IndexIQ Active's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IndexIQ Active is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IndexIQ Active's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.