Pro Blend Extended Term Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.11

MNBRX Fund  USD 20.29  0.10  0.50%   
Pro-blend(r) Extended's future price is the expected price of Pro-blend(r) Extended instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pro Blend Extended Term performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pro-blend(r) Extended Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pro-blend(r) Extended Correlation, Pro-blend(r) Extended Hype Analysis, Pro-blend(r) Extended Volatility, Pro-blend(r) Extended History as well as Pro-blend(r) Extended Performance.
  
Please specify Pro-blend(r) Extended's target price for which you would like Pro-blend(r) Extended odds to be computed.

Pro-blend(r) Extended Target Price Odds to finish over 20.11

The tendency of Pro-blend(r) Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 20.11  in 90 days
 20.29 90 days 20.11 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pro-blend(r) Extended to stay above $ 20.11  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Pro Blend Extended Term probability density function shows the probability of Pro-blend(r) Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pro-blend(r) Extended price to stay between $ 20.11  and its current price of $20.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pro-blend(r) Extended has a beta of 0.33. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Pro-blend(r) Extended average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pro Blend Extended Term will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pro Blend Extended Term has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pro-blend(r) Extended Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pro-blend(r) Extended

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pro-blend(r) Extended. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9120.2920.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9320.3120.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7320.1120.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1620.2620.35
Details

Pro-blend(r) Extended Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pro-blend(r) Extended is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pro-blend(r) Extended's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pro Blend Extended Term, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pro-blend(r) Extended within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.33

Pro-blend(r) Extended Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pro-blend(r) Extended for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pro-blend(r) Extended can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pro-blend(r) Extended generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 6.19% of its assets in cash

Pro-blend(r) Extended Technical Analysis

Pro-blend(r) Extended's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pro-blend(r) Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pro Blend Extended Term. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pro-blend(r) Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pro-blend(r) Extended Predictive Forecast Models

Pro-blend(r) Extended's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pro-blend(r) Extended's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pro-blend(r) Extended's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pro-blend(r) Extended

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pro-blend(r) Extended for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pro-blend(r) Extended help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pro-blend(r) Extended generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 6.19% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Pro-blend(r) Mutual Fund

Pro-blend(r) Extended financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pro-blend(r) Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pro-blend(r) with respect to the benefits of owning Pro-blend(r) Extended security.
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets