Invesco Main Street Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 23.51

MNSQX Fund  USD 23.29  0.11  0.47%   
Invesco Main's future price is the expected price of Invesco Main instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Main Street performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Main Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Main Correlation, Invesco Main Hype Analysis, Invesco Main Volatility, Invesco Main History as well as Invesco Main Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Main's target price for which you would like Invesco Main odds to be computed.

Invesco Main Target Price Odds to finish over 23.51

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 23.51  or more in 90 days
 23.29 90 days 23.51 
about 63.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Main to move over $ 23.51  or more in 90 days from now is about 63.6 (This Invesco Main Street probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Main Street price to stay between its current price of $ 23.29  and $ 23.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Invesco Main will likely underperform. Additionally Invesco Main Street has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Invesco Main Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Main

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Main Street. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8923.2924.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.1123.5124.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.1222.5223.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.1924.6526.11
Details

Invesco Main Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Main is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Main's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Main Street, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Main within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Invesco Main Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Main for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Main Street can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.59% of its assets in stocks

Invesco Main Technical Analysis

Invesco Main's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Main Street. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Main Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Main's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Main's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Main's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Main Street

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Main for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Main Street help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.59% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Main financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Main security.
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