Vaneck Vectors Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 39.18
| MOTG Etf | USD 39.62 0.13 0.33% |
VanEck |
VanEck Vectors Target Price Odds to finish below 39.18
The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 39.18 or more in 90 days |
| 39.62 | 90 days | 39.18 | about 25.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Vectors to drop to $ 39.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.83 (This VanEck Vectors ETF probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Vectors ETF price to stay between $ 39.18 and its current price of $39.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Vectors has a beta of 0.59. This indicates as returns on the market go up, VanEck Vectors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck Vectors ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck Vectors ETF has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VanEck Vectors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Vectors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Vectors ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Vectors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck Vectors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Vectors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Vectors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Vectors ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Vectors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
VanEck Vectors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Vectors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Vectors ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Dogecoin, Bitcoin Left In The Dust By AI Meme Coin GOAT As Nvidias Q3 Earnings Draw Near | |
| The fund maintains 99.81% of its assets in stocks |
VanEck Vectors Technical Analysis
VanEck Vectors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Vectors ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VanEck Vectors Predictive Forecast Models
VanEck Vectors' time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Vectors' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Vectors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VanEck Vectors ETF
Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Vectors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Vectors ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Dogecoin, Bitcoin Left In The Dust By AI Meme Coin GOAT As Nvidias Q3 Earnings Draw Near | |
| The fund maintains 99.81% of its assets in stocks |
Check out VanEck Vectors Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Vectors Correlation, VanEck Vectors Hype Analysis, VanEck Vectors Volatility, VanEck Vectors History as well as VanEck Vectors Performance. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
The market value of VanEck Vectors ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Vectors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Vectors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Vectors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Vectors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Vectors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Vectors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Vectors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.