Madison Pacific Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.06
| MPC Stock | CAD 5.30 0.22 3.99% |
Madison |
Madison Pacific Target Price Odds to finish below 0.06
The tendency of Madison Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.06 or more in 90 days |
| 5.30 | 90 days | 0.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Madison Pacific to drop to C$ 0.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Madison Pacific Properties probability density function shows the probability of Madison Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Madison Pacific Prop price to stay between C$ 0.06 and its current price of C$5.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Madison Pacific has a beta of 0.0928. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Madison Pacific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Madison Pacific Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Madison Pacific Properties has an alpha of 0.0369, implying that it can generate a 0.0369 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Madison Pacific Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Madison Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Madison Pacific Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Madison Pacific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Madison Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Madison Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Madison Pacific Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Madison Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Madison Pacific Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Madison Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Madison Pacific Prop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Madison Pacific Prop has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has C$104.08 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 44.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 41.02 M. | |
| Madison Pacific Properties has accumulated about 41.96 M in cash with (20.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.97. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Madison Pacific Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Madison Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Madison Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Madison Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.11 | |
| Shares Float | 10.7 M |
Madison Pacific Technical Analysis
Madison Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Madison Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Madison Pacific Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Madison Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Madison Pacific Predictive Forecast Models
Madison Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Madison Pacific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Madison Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Madison Pacific Prop
Checking the ongoing alerts about Madison Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Madison Pacific Prop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Madison Pacific Prop has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has C$104.08 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 44.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 41.02 M. | |
| Madison Pacific Properties has accumulated about 41.96 M in cash with (20.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.97. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Madison Stock
Madison Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Madison Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Madison with respect to the benefits of owning Madison Pacific security.