Mairs Power Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 179.09

MPGFX Fund  USD 180.18  0.78  0.43%   
Mairs Power's future price is the expected price of Mairs Power instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mairs Power Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mairs Power Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mairs Power Correlation, Mairs Power Hype Analysis, Mairs Power Volatility, Mairs Power History as well as Mairs Power Performance.
  
Please specify Mairs Power's target price for which you would like Mairs Power odds to be computed.

Mairs Power Target Price Odds to finish below 179.09

The tendency of Mairs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 179.09  or more in 90 days
 180.18 90 days 179.09 
about 86.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mairs Power to drop to $ 179.09  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.73 (This Mairs Power Growth probability density function shows the probability of Mairs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mairs Power Growth price to stay between $ 179.09  and its current price of $180.18 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mairs Power Growth has a beta of -0.0497. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mairs Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mairs Power Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mairs Power Growth has an alpha of 0.0737, implying that it can generate a 0.0737 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mairs Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mairs Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mairs Power Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
179.19180.01180.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
165.38166.20198.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
177.34178.16178.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
179.70180.44181.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mairs Power. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mairs Power's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mairs Power's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mairs Power Growth.

Mairs Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mairs Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mairs Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mairs Power Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mairs Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
4.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Mairs Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mairs Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mairs Power Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.36% of its assets in stocks

Mairs Power Technical Analysis

Mairs Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mairs Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mairs Power Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mairs Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mairs Power Predictive Forecast Models

Mairs Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mairs Power's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mairs Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mairs Power Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mairs Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mairs Power Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.36% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Mairs Mutual Fund

Mairs Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mairs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mairs with respect to the benefits of owning Mairs Power security.
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