Marine Products Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.23

MPX Stock  USD 9.84  0.28  2.93%   
Marine Products' future price is the expected price of Marine Products instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Marine Products performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Marine Products Backtesting, Marine Products Valuation, Marine Products Correlation, Marine Products Hype Analysis, Marine Products Volatility, Marine Products History as well as Marine Products Performance.
For more information on how to buy Marine Stock please use our How to Invest in Marine Products guide.
  
At this time, Marine Products' Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 16.04 in 2024, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 6.40 in 2024. Please specify Marine Products' target price for which you would like Marine Products odds to be computed.

Marine Products Target Price Odds to finish over 14.23

The tendency of Marine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.23  or more in 90 days
 9.84 90 days 14.23 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marine Products to move over $ 14.23  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Marine Products probability density function shows the probability of Marine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marine Products price to stay between its current price of $ 9.84  and $ 14.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.66 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Marine Products will likely underperform. Additionally Marine Products has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Marine Products Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marine Products

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marine Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.289.8411.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7711.3312.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.929.4811.03
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.5616.0017.76
Details

Marine Products Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marine Products is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marine Products' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marine Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marine Products within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0017
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Marine Products Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marine Products for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marine Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Marine Products Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By 0.02 EPS

Marine Products Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marine Products' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marine Products' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments72 M

Marine Products Technical Analysis

Marine Products' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marine Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Marine Products Predictive Forecast Models

Marine Products' time-series forecasting models is one of many Marine Products' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marine Products' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Marine Products

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marine Products for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marine Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Marine Products Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By 0.02 EPS

Additional Tools for Marine Stock Analysis

When running Marine Products' price analysis, check to measure Marine Products' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marine Products is operating at the current time. Most of Marine Products' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marine Products' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marine Products' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marine Products to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.